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Seleznov Capital Advisors research is an independent and impartial investment consulting and services firm focusing on technical analysis and systematic based portfolio management programs.  Seleznov Capital Advisors provides consulting services, analytics solutions and customized investment products for institutional investors, plan sponsors, investment managers and financial intermediaries. Seleznov Capital Advisors maintains long and short positions in broad market and narrow market indexes both long and short.  Seleznov Capital Advisors does not hold positions in individual stocks.

Money Management - One Style does not Fit All

There is more to managing wealth than trading signals.  Tactical wealth management that includes Long Positions, Short Positions, Market Timing, Sector Rotation and Quantitative Management of an individual’s objective requires extensive work and monitoring on a daily basis.

We believe that an individual should utilize a professional money management firm like Seleznov Capital Advisors.

We provide:

Tactical Managed Accounts - Equities

Strategic Managed Accounts – Equities & Bonds

Bond Managed Accounts – All Bonds of various types and maturities

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Market Timing versus Buy and Hold – 2009 Results

In the 1990’s, Buy and Hold seemed like a good strategy.  Stocks and other assets  just went straight up.  The invention of the personal computer and the growth of the internet caused an industrial revolution.

But 2000 through 2009 tells another story.  Unless you were a good market timer, you are probably sorry you were not sitting in T-Bills.  Despite its 2009 rebound, the Dow Jones Industrial Average today stands at just 10520.10, no higher than in 1999.

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Managed Accounts for Everyone!

Whether you refer to them as "individually managed accounts or "separately managed accounts", these managed accounts are now available to almost everyone.  To understand why they have such a strong appeal to affluent investors, consider the history of professional money management. Wealthy people hired professional money managers to oversee their wealth.

Likewise, large pension plans, endowments and other institutional investors have often entrusted their assets to professional money-management firms. With minimum investment requirements of $1 million, the services of these money managers have historically been well out of reach of the average investor.  That is until now.

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KISS Keep It Simple Stupid

Everything should be made as simple as possible, but no simpler.   K-I-S-S

Trading with a plan is essential in investing.  You may call it a trading system or rule based trading, either description is still based on a plan.

Any business that is going to succeed needs a plan and the discipline to follow it.  There are many reasons that businesses fail, but among the top reason is the lack of a plan.

 

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Description of All Trading Systems Monitored

 

All trading plans and systematic approaches are based on always being in market long or short.   A portfolio manager or investor may only want to take long positions and use cash when a short signal occurs.  Individuals unfamiliar with the risks or short positions should consult their financial professional.  Only financial professionals who understand risks should utilize leveraged ETF products in their strategies.  Only a financial professional can determine individual suitability and our research does not consider an individuals suitability or investment time horizon or objectives. All plans are based on an End of Day Signal with the trade being executed the following day Market on Close (MOC) or for use in fund timing.

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SPDR SPY ETF 4 Year Ranking

The SPY, SPDR® S&P 500® ETF is one of the most actively traded and tracked ETF's.  The SPDR SPY ETF corresponds to the S&P 500 Index®.  There are also mutual funds that track the S&P 500 from mutual fund families of Profunds, Rydex, Direxion Funds, Fidelity, Vanguard, Schwab and others that offer mutual fund products to money managers and investors.  Some of these mutual fund and ETF families offer leveraged products for the S&P 500.  The SPY is one of the most most actively traded ETF's and an ETF that market timers, systematic traders, and timing services seek research on how to enhance Buy and Hold returns.

At Seleznov Capital Advisors we track 30 systematic trading plans for the SPY.  Below is a Ranking of our 30 trading plans for market timing for the SPY for the last 4 years.

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Buy and Hold is a Market Timing System

Market timing systems must include Buy and Hold as a timing strategy.  When we provide rankings of trading systems, we always include Buy and Hold as a trading system.  There are still many investors that believe Buy and Hold is the right strategy for investing.  Trading System research needs to compare not only a variety of trading systems, but also how any trading system used to time the market compares.  We always include Buy and Hold in our rankings.   For some indexes and ETF’s, Buy and Hold may perform well for periods of time.

The recent rally in the stock market from the exact time frame of March 6, 2009 to December 31, 2009 would see Buy and Hold as the best market timing strategy to use.  Most trend following systems did not switch from short positions to long positions until late March or April of 2009.  Longer term trend following systems, like the 200 day moving average market timing system did not change from a short position to a long position until July 2009.The Buy and Hold proponents, argue that Buy and Hold works!  They forget about the previous 14 months which saw declines in those same indexes.  None of the indexes exceed the highs of October 2007.

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Dow Jones Industrial Systematic Trading Plan Rankings, 10+ Years

The Dow Jones Industrial Average’s is the most widely followed Index reported everyday on radio and TV to let the public know how the stock market performed that day.   We track the DJIA in our 30 systems.  The results from November 1998 through December 2009 show some very interesting data.

This is a point test.  The performance is points of profit from 1998-2009.

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Contact Us Today

Local:       480-951-4001

Toll Free:  800-665-4078 (Outside of AZ)

Fax:          480-951-7837

Email:  mark@seleznovcapitaladvisors.com

managedaccounts@seleznovcapitaladvisors.com

research@seleznovcapitaladvisors.com

support@seleznovcapitaladvisors.com

(Office hours 8:30-5:00pm AZ Time)

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NOTICE: "HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.
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